COVID-19.. some unique observations from this actuarial report (june 12 2020)

Actuary out of the Box
3 min readJun 15, 2020

https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/files/resources/research-report/2020/impact-of-covid.pdf

Some interesting features not often covered by other references include…

Two dimensional analysis of 2 key statistics. Chart usefully defines a RED ZONE

Figure 4 , page 8

1) COMPARISON OF NEW YORK CITY AND CHICAGO COVID-19 CASE RATES AND COVID-19 DEATHS RATES BY RACE/ETHNICITY, JUNE 10, 2020

Figure 9, page 11

2) U.S. GENERAL POPULATION MORTALITY AND COVID-19 CASE FATALITY RATE RANGES BY AGE GROUP (comparison)

Figure 9, page 13

3) COVID-19 MORTALITY RATES PER 100,000 OF POPULATION BY AGE GROUP (various countries)

Comment.. clearly shows that there could be a `reporting of deaths` difference by country. The UK is clearly including retirement homes deaths… the other countries may not be

Figure 17, page 20

4) U.S. MONTHLY DEATHS BY CAUSE OF DEATH FROM JANUARY 2019 TO MAY 23, 2020

Figure 20, page 23

5) CAUSE OF DEATH CITED IN U.S. COVID-19 DEATHS BY AGE GROUP FROM JANUARY 25 TO MAY 31, 2020

Leading co-morbidities associated with COVID-19 deaths

Table 1, page 24

6) PERCENTAGE OF COVID-19 CASES AND DEATHS AT LONG-TERM CARE FACILITIES, JUNE 4, 2020

Retirement home deaths may be distorting the overall state`s Case Fatality Rate (e.g. Pennsylvania)

Figure 23, page 27

7) U.S. POPULATION DEATHS FROM FLU AND PNEUMONIA BY COUNTY INCOME PERCENTILE

Figure 25, page 30

8) COMMON COMORBID CONDITIONS FOR HOSPITALIZED INFLUENZA AND COVID-19 PATIENTS

Very unusual to see obesity as a main co-risk factor for a disease

Table 4, page 39

If you enjoyed reading this article, please consider clapping. It means the world to the author.

--

--